http://www.pokerhandreplays.com/view.php/id/6909319

Points to this hand:
- Ace on the river obviously makes it less likely that he has an ace in his hand.

Points I neglected:
- Although the ace on the river does reduce the chance of him having an ace, the fact that I have the Kd reduces the chance that he's on a draw.

Where to Improve:
 - check back the flop, as well as with AK:
     - if he raises us and we get it all-in on the flop, we're not doing so great against his range. His  range would be strong combo draws, two pairs, sets and QJ for the straight.
     - we aren't afraid of any turn cards.

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So I decided to go over this hand in flopzilla and illustrate the points above:

let's give him a range of 88+, AQo+, KQo, AJs+, KQs (5.18%)

Obviously he's probably usually 4betting AA, KK and probably QQ preflop, but let's just try this range for now.

Against that range, on a Ah Jd Td flop:
- 61% equity for range
- 38% equity for hand


1) Obviously we don't want to get it all in on the flop given that we are 38% against his range.

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With flopzilla, we can also see which turn cards improve the range, and which improve our hand:
- A/K are basically a tie, two kings are obviously blocked, and presumably some aces because of his range. A Queen is ~70% for our range. Jacks and tens are ~60% for his range. 9s and 8s are especially good for his range (73%). 7s all the way down to 2s around 67% for his range. Basically the takeaway is that most cards don't change the equity much other than 8s and 9s which are good for his range (if we include 88/99 in his preflop raise/call range, and Queens which are good for my hand.

2) Obviously there aren't many turn cards we are afraid of. The vast majority of turn cards don't change the equity drastically from the flop to the turn.


3) He doesn't have many draws in his range because we have the Kd. (Kinda)
- He'll actually have gutshots 44% of the time. (QQ, KK, AQ, AK)
- But if we change our card from the Kd to the Ks, he has flushdraws 5% of the time compared to 1.8%.